All of these figures are listed by Boeing in its Commercial Market Forecast (CMO) 2021 globally, including the Asia Pacific region, thereby referring to the company's long-term forecasts for the future. demand for commercial and service aircraft.
The air travel market of Asia Pacific countries is diverse, including developed countries in Northeast Asia and Oceania as well as developing countries such as China, South Asia and East Asia. South Asia. According to Boeing, thanks to the expanded Covid-19 vaccination activity, the aviation industry is gradually recovering, giving airlines in Asia Pacific an advantage to restore leisure and business flights. as well as air freight services.
According to Boeing's forecast, Southeast Asian countries with rapid economic growth are seeing fleet growth and passenger volume higher than the global average. Low-cost carriers are forecast to expand their regional networks with narrow-body aircraft, while the expanding market and trade agreements will allow airlines to invest in fuel-efficient wide-body aircraft. material to service long distances. Southeast Asia is forecast to need 4,465 new aircraft worth $765 billion and commercial aviation services worth $790 billion by 2040.
In Northeast Asia, advanced economies will continue to support the air travel market in equilibrium in all segments from domestic, regional and long-haul routes. The replacement of aircraft will account for about 75% of new flights as airlines are always looking for ways to improve the sustainability and flexibility of their fleets. The region is projected to need 1,385 new aircraft worth $310 billion and services worth $555 billion over the next 20 years.
In Oceania, commercial aviation is the key transport infrastructure for long-haul and island-states. 80% of domestic and regional passenger traffic will drive demand for narrow-body aircraft, while flexible wide-body aircraft such as the 787 Dreamliner will support the growth of the network. international long distance. Oceania is expected to need 785 new jets worth $135 billion and air services worth $165 billion by the end of the forecast period.
Darren Hulst, Boeing's Vice President of Commercial Marketing, commented: "As travel restrictions are lifted and travelers gradually regain their confidence to travel, the overall situation for travel within Asia is not. The Pacific has had very strong recoveries. Airlines with efficient and flexible fleets will be positioned to meet the needs of passengers and the needs of air cargo carriers while minimizing fuel use and operating costs ".
Boeing also made a forecast for the Asia-Pacific region by 2040, predicting that demand for narrow-body aircraft will reach about 13,500 units, accounting for three-quarters of aircraft delivered. Wide-body aircraft carrying both passengers and cargo will require a total of 3,800 aircraft. The cargo fleet will also triple to 1,160, including both new and converted aircraft, to help diversify global supply chains and meet e-commerce needs. Asia Pacific's cargo fleet is expected to be roughly equal to North America's cargo fleet by 2040.
Along with economic and fleet growth, Boeing also pointed out, maintenance, repair, overhaul and fleet adjustment needs will account for the majority of commercial aviation service demand. Digital solutions, analytics and training services will also support the Asia Pacific fleet. Boeing's 2021 Pilot and Technician (PTO) forecast predicts the region will need about 820,000 new aviation employees, including more than 230,000 pilots, nearly 250,000 technicians and 340,000 crew members .
Source: Industry and Trade Newspaper